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The Biggest Buildup Since Iraq — and the War That Won't Happen
The U.S. has assembled more air power in the Middle East than at any point since 2003. It's leverage, not a war plan.
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Opinion analysis with tracked predictions and deep dives
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The Carrier Poker Playbook
Two carrier strike groups in the Middle East reveal a negotiation pattern, not a war plan.
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Watershed in the Pacific: Japan Just Made the Coalition Against China Real
How Takaichi's landslide locked America into the China fight — and why Beijing's pressure campaign backfired
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financial repressioninflationdemographicsreshoringai knowledge workus china
Pattern Lab Weekly: January 28, 2026
Thesis momentum across demographics, financial repression, inflation, and reshoring
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The Last General: What Xi's Purges Tell Us About China's Black Box
Stalin and Mao showed us the pattern. We just can't see inside to know where it ends.
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Liberation or Screaming Into the Void?
Mark Carney's Davos speech gave middle powers the rhetoric they wanted. It won't give them the autonomy they need.
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Europe's Greenland "Victory" and the Vassalage It Confirms
My AI rejected this thesis. Twice. Here's why it's wrong.
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