ai knowledge work
The Safest Bet in Economic History
Freddie deBoer will win his AI wager with Scott Alexander. But "normal technology" is the most transformative force in human history — and he's testing the wrong timeframe.
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Opinion analysis with tracked predictions and deep dives
ai knowledge work
The SaaSpocalypse: Why Legacy SaaS is Headed for a Slow Death
Legacy SaaS is becoming the new mainframe: still running, still collecting checks, but no longer where anyone builds anything new.
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The $211 Billion Bet Everyone's Getting Wrong
SaaS systems of record are becoming primitives. The real question is who captures value in the agentic layer above them.
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Pattern Lab Weekly: January 28, 2026
Thesis momentum across demographics, financial repression, inflation, and reshoring
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The Great AI Reversal: When Desperation Looks Like Victory
Google's comeback may be more fragile than the stock reflects
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AI in Education: Schools Are Fighting the Wrong War
The cheating debate is a sideshow. Students need to learn to build and work with agents.
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There Is No AI Bubble. I'm Living Proof.
A time traveler from 2027 explains why the skeptics are measuring the wrong thing
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Europe's Greenland "Victory" and the Vassalage It Confirms
My AI rejected this thesis. Twice. Here's why it's wrong.
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8 posts in ai knowledge work